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As well as hints from Asian authorities that they are going to diversify, we now have the U.S. acknowledging it. It's going to put the dollar under a bit of pressure.
Ian Stannard -
The yen has retraced some of its recent losses against the dollar, but expectations of a strong U.S. consumer confidence number are keeping the dollar broadly supported.
Ian Stannard
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They've raised their inflation and growth forecasts, which suggests that the ECB thinks the European economy is improving and requires more rate hikes. These comments have helped the euro.
Ian Stannard -
Both have the potential to provide dollar with negative surprises.
Ian Stannard -
The sentiment is turning dollar negative -- probably the biggest factor putting the dollar under pressure is the rise in oil prices and rise in gold prices.
Ian Stannard -
Portfolio flows had been the main driving force behind dollar strength. During the summer months we see a slowdown in financial market activity, and this reduces the flows into the U.S. and hence reduces support for the dollar.
Ian Stannard -
The message from officials is that the impact from Katrina will be limited.
Ian Stannard -
The dollar is coming under pressure across the board, following the FOMC because of the dissenter.
Ian Stannard
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The Fed will be pausing after raising rates in May. Sterling is going to hold up reasonably well in the near term.
Ian Stannard -
It's just a little bit of a correction on the yen front. The Nikkei (stock market average) was down quite sharply overnight but everything points to a stronger yen still developing.
Ian Stannard -
I see euro/dollar testing the $1.1870 low in the next couple of weeks as there is no easy solution to this.
Ian Stannard -
The outlook for interest rates is still positive. Canada's economy is still moving ahead, keeping expectations of higher rates alive.
Ian Stannard -
There is quite a lot of news coming out of Japan, which I think is putting the yen under some weakness.
Ian Stannard -
There is increasing scope for the dollar to come under pressure. Once again, we see structural issues starting to work against the dollar.
Ian Stannard
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Under the grand coalition agreement, some compromise will obviously have to take place for things to work.
Ian Stannard -
The minutes are a very important event today, with any adjustment suggesting that the peak in rates is close, as we believe it is, seen putting the dollar under further pressure.
Ian Stannard -
This adds to the impression that Asian central banks are going to be prepared to raise interest rates, and ultimately allow more strength in their currencies.
Ian Stannard -
Gains in commodities provided a positive backdrop for the Canadian dollar.
Ian Stannard -
The market is assuming that the ECB won't be hiking rates in the next couple of months. The way is open for the euro to decline further.
Ian Stannard -
Speculation regarding a ECB rate hike is likely to start building further, especially coming on top of the more hawkish comments we have been seeing from the ECB officials, so that will be euro supportive.
Ian Stannard
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Failure to meet market expectations here will reinforce the market perception that the peak in US rates is clear, putting the dollar under renewed pressure.
Ian Stannard -
Men are no more immune from emotions than women; we think women are more emotional because the culture lets them give free vent to certain feelings, "feminine" ones, that is, no anger please, but it's okay to turn on the waterworks.
Ian Stannard -
The news from the U.S. continues to come out encouraging for the dollar.
Ian Stannard -
Central bank's reserve diversification is now a global trend, although different central banks are citing different reasons behind the change.
Ian Stannard