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To avoid large and unsustainable budget deficits, the nation will ultimately have to choose among higher taxes, modifications to entitlement programs such as Social Security and Medicare, less spending on everything else from education to defense, or some combination of the above.
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A money-financed tax cut is essentially equivalent to Milton Friedman's famous 'helicopter drop' of money.
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Deflation is defined as a general decline in prices, with emphasis on the word 'general.'
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Monetary policy is a blunt tool which certainly affects the distribution of income and wealth, although whether the net effect is to increase or reduce inequality is not clear.
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I'd throw dollars out of helicopters if I had to, to stimulate the economy.
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It's true that the Federal Reserve faces a lot of political pressure and is unpopular in many circles.
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It is not the responsibility of the Federal Bank - nor would it be appropriate - to protect lenders and investors from the consequences of their decisions.
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These policies include making tax relief permanent, reducing the budget deficit by limiting spending, strengthening retirement and health security through efforts like Social Security reform ... and enhancing energy security.
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I will maintain the focus on long-term price stability as monetary policy's greatest contribution to general economic prosperity and maximum employment.
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In the shorter term, the devastation wrought by Hurricane Katrina will have a palpable effect on the national economy.
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Different countries have different kinds of financial structures.
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Among other objectives, liquidity guidelines must take into account the risks that inadequate liquidity planning by major financial firms pose for the broader financial system, and they must ensure that these firms do not become excessively reliant on liquidity support from the central bank.
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The downturn following the collapse of Japan's so-called bubble economy of the 1980s was not as severe as the Great Depression.
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To be sure, the provision of liquidity alone can by no means solve the problems of credit risk and credit losses; but it can reduce liquidity premiums, help restore the confidence of investors, and thus promote stability.
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The policies and policy strategies established during the Greenspan years.
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Low marginal tax rates are supportive of economic growth. I would submit that we would want to look very hard at government spending - make sure it's controlled - before we raise taxes, which, in turn, would have negative impacts on the economy.
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The lesson of history is that you do not get a sustained economic recovery as long as the financial system is in crisis.
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The central bank needs to be able to make policy without short term political concerns.
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I and others were mistaken early on in saying that the subprime crisis would be contained. The causal relationship between the housing problem and the broad financial system was very complex and difficult to predict.
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A.I.G. was even larger than Lehman, with a substantial presence in derivatives and debt markets, as well as in insurance markets.
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In many spheres of human endeavor, from science to business to education to economic policy, good decisions depend on good measurement.
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Over the past decade a combination of diverse forces has created a significant increase in the global supply of saving -- a global saving glut.
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Monetary policy has less room to maneuver when interest rates are close to zero, while expansionary fiscal policy is likely both more effective and less costly in terms of increased debt burden when interest rates are pinned at low levels.
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The basic prescription for preventing deflation is straightforward, at least in principle: Use monetary and fiscal policy as needed to support aggregate spending, in a manner as nearly consistent as possible with full utilization of economic resources and low and stable inflation. In other words, the best way to get out of trouble is not to get into it in the first place.