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I don't see any significant risk of a recession.
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Deflation can be particularly dangerous when a financial system is shaky, with household and corporate balance sheets in poor shape and banks undercapitalized and heavily burdened with bad loans.
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I come from Main Street, from a small town that's really depressed.
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I don't know why there aren't more Depression buffs.
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Many savers are also homeowners; indeed, a family's home may be its most important financial asset. Many savers are working, or would like to be.
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Clearly, it's going to affect the Gulf Coast economy quite a bit.
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Long-term unemployment is particularly costly to those directly affected, of course. But in addition, because of its negative effects on workers' skills and attachment to the labor force, long-term unemployment may ultimately reduce the productive capacity of our economy.
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There's no magical relationship between inverted yield curves and recession. There's a debate why long-term rates are so low. It's partly a low term premium and a lot of saving looking for a relatively limited number of investments.
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Quantitatively, outsourcing abroad simply cannot account for much of the recent weakness in the U.S. labor market and does not appear likely to be an .important restraint to further recovery in employment.
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The benefit of appointing a hawkish central banker is the increased inflation-fighting credibility that such an appointment brings.
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Inflation is up, driven by energy prices. Underlying core rates remain low, which is encouraging.
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Economics is a highly sophisticated field of thought that is superb at explaining to policymakers precisely why the choices they made in the past were wrong. About the future, not so much.
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Because a person has to be either working or looking for work to be counted as part of the labor force, an increase in the number of people too discouraged to continue their search for work would reduce the unemployment rate, all else being equal - but not for a positive reason.
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Preventing liquidation of an unbalanced market will leave you in tears.
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The failure of Lehman Brothers demonstrated that liquidity provision by the Federal Reserve would not be sufficient to stop the crisis; substantial fiscal resources were necessary.
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This necessary spending should not, however, jeopardize the president' long-term deficit-reduction goals.
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There is a deficit; I'd like to see it lowered. But it's up to Congress to decide whether that should be done by higher taxes, lower spending or some combination.
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Has set the standard for excellence in economic policy-making.
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I think it's generally a bad idea for the Fed to be the arbiter of asset prices. The Fed doesn't really have any better information than other people in the market about what the correct value of asset prices is.
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September and October of 2008 was the worst financial crisis in global history, including the Great Depression.
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So far, the actual actions taken have been relatively modest, but there is some hope, I think, that, going forward, these actions will advance further and we will see more progress in the current account.
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Clearly it's going to affect the Gulf Coast economy quite a bit. You've had a lot of property damage. Basic services are down.
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We benefit from foreign direct investment. Many Americans are employed by foreign companies with plants in the United States, for example in the automobile industry. So, trade is a two way street. I think, it is important to protect Americans who lose their jobs, or whose jobs come under pressure from international trade. But, I think, we need to be careful not to embrace economic isolationism.
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There are some petroleum refineries that don't have crude and by allowing them to draw from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve they will be able to produce more gasoline.