Clive Granger Quotes

United Kingdom, Econometrician
September 4, 1934 – May, 27, 2009.

Sir Clive William John Granger (/ˈɡreɪndʒər/; 4 September 1934 – 27 May 2009) was a British econometrician known for his contributions to non-linear time series. He taught in Britain at the University of Nottingham and in the United States at the University of California, San Diego. In 2003, Granger was awarded the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences, in recognition that he and his co-winner, Robert F. Engle, had made contributions to the analysis of time series data that had changed fundamentally the way in which economists analyse financial and macroeconomic data

A teacher told my mother that I would never become successful, which illustrates the difficulty of long-run forecasting on inadequate data.

Clive Granger
- Long
- Mother
- Teacher
I was born in Swansea in the Principality of Wales in September 1934 and named Clive William John Granger. The 'William John' names were traditional Granger boy's names, and my mother liked the name Clive because some popular musician at the time had it.

Clive Granger
- Time
- Mother
- Boy

I think it is true to say that I am not the first Nobel Prize winner in economics to have little formal training in economics.

Clive Granger
- True
- Training
A potentially useful property of forecasts based on cointegration is that when extended some way ahead, the forecasts of the two series will form a constant ratio, as is expected by some asymptotic economic theory.

Clive Granger
Forecasts vary in horizon, from a few seconds up to a few days in financial markets, compared to from one to several months for macro variables. We have to provide uncertainty intervals around the central forecasts to indicate the extent to which we are unclear about the future.

Clive Granger
- Up
- Future
- Financial
I preferred to use mathematics in some practical fashion and thought that meteorology sounded promising.

Clive Granger
- Fashion
The stock market is like a small row boat on a rough sea, bouncing around as it drifts, whereas the macro economy is like a large ocean liner, very ponderous and difficult to maneuver but without such a rough journey.

Clive Granger
- Small
- Journey
- Sea
Rob Engle and I are concerned with extracting useful implications from economic data, and so the properties of the data are of particular importance.

Clive Granger

I wonder if economics has less basic core material than is necessary for fields such as mathematics, physics, or chemistry, say.

Clive Granger
- Wonder
I work with the macro economy, which involves the major variables that measure the health of the whole economy, such as total consumption, investment, income, employment, and inflation.

Clive Granger
- Work
- Health
As far as I could tell, I was the first person anywhere in my family tree to go to university.

Clive Granger
- Family
- Tree
In 1973, I was offered a professorship at the University of California, San Diego. Although I was certainly not unhappy at Nottingham, I had been there over twenty years from starting undergraduate studies to Professor of Applied Statistics and Econometrics, and I thought that a change of scene was worth considering.

Clive Granger
- California
On completing my degree, I started a Ph.D. in statistics, although I knew very little about the topic. My supervisor was Professor Harry Pitt, who was an excellent pure mathematician and probabilist.

Clive Granger
There are many types of economic data, but the type considered by Rob Engle and myself is know as time series.

Clive Granger
- Time