Nate Silver Quotes
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Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense.
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When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen.
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A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
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I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
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By playing games you can artificially speed up your learning curve to develop the right kind of thought processes.
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I don't think you should limit what you read.
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You don't want to treat any one person as oracular.
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I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
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I have to think about how to not spread myself too thin. It's a really great problem to have.
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Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
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I've just always been a bit of a dork.
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We're not that much smarter than we used to be, even though we have much more information - and that means the real skill now is learning how to pick out the useful information from all this noise.
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Midterm elections can be dreadfully boring, unfortunately.
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I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
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The problem is that when polls are wrong, they tend to be wrong in the same direction. If they miss in New Hampshire, for instance, they all miss on the same mistake.
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Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
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When you get into statistical analysis, you don't really expect to achieve fame. Or to become an Internet meme. Or be parodied by 'The Onion' - or be the subject of a cartoon in 'The New Yorker.' I guess I'm kind of an outlier there.
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Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.
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I guess I don't like the people in politics very much, to be blunt.
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We must become more comfortable with probability and uncertainty.
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I'm a pro-horserace guy.
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I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.
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I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.