Nate Silver Quotes
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If you aren't taking a representative sample, you won't get a representative snapshot.
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I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.
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A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
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When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen.
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By playing games you can artificially speed up your learning curve to develop the right kind of thought processes.
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We must become more comfortable with probability and uncertainty.
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I don't think you should limit what you read.
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I have to think about how to not spread myself too thin. It's a really great problem to have.
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I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
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You don't want to treat any one person as oracular.
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We're not that much smarter than we used to be, even though we have much more information - and that means the real skill now is learning how to pick out the useful information from all this noise.
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I've just always been a bit of a dork.
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Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
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I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
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The problem is that when polls are wrong, they tend to be wrong in the same direction. If they miss in New Hampshire, for instance, they all miss on the same mistake.
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Midterm elections can be dreadfully boring, unfortunately.
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When you get into statistical analysis, you don't really expect to achieve fame. Or to become an Internet meme. Or be parodied by 'The Onion' - or be the subject of a cartoon in 'The New Yorker.' I guess I'm kind of an outlier there.
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I'm a pro-horserace guy.
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Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.
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I guess I don't like the people in politics very much, to be blunt.
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
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Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
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Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.
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I have the same friends and the same bad habits.