Predictions Quotes
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The confirmations of novel predictions resulting from bold conjectures are very important in the falsificationist account of the growth of science.
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Let there be a special place in Hell for pundits who make predictions.
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Astrological prayers seem to me to be built on as good reason as the predictions.
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Darwin and his descendants couldn't have asked for a better example of how you make scientific predictions and how you verify them in a very rigorous way.
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One of the things that I think we have learned is that we should all be very careful about making predictions about the future.
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Bayes’s Rule tells us that when it comes to making predictions based on limited evidence, few things are as important as having good priors—that is, a sense of the distribution from which we expect that evidence to have come. Good predictions thus begin with having good instincts about when we’re dealing with a normal distribution and when with a power-law distribution. As it turns out, Bayes’s Rule offers us a simple but dramatically different predictive rule of thumb for each.
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If you want to be a good intuitive Bayesian—if you want to naturally make good predictions, without having to think about what kind of prediction rule is appropriate—you need to protect your priors. Counterintuitively, that might mean turning off the news.
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The first company to produce a certified two seat electric aircraft with a 1.5 hour range will dominate the aviation training market.
