Brian Christian Quotes
If you want to be a good intuitive Bayesian—if you want to naturally make good predictions, without having to think about what kind of prediction rule is appropriate—you need to protect your priors. Counterintuitively, that might mean turning off the news.
Quotes to Explore
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I have one desire: That is to have a principle-based, member-driven Congress. Period. That's what I want.
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The single greatest thing you can do to change your life today would be to start being grateful for what you have right now. And the more grateful you are, the more you get.
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To kill these (rabid) dogs, in my opinion, amount to himsa, but I believe it to be inevitable if we are to escape much greater himsa.
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The only useful function of a statistician is to make predictions, and thus to provide a basis for action.
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When you have two competing theories that make exactly the same predictions, the simpler one is the better.
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One of the things that I think we have learned is that we should all be very careful about making predictions about the future.
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The confirmations of novel predictions resulting from bold conjectures are very important in the falsificationist account of the growth of science.
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Your courage in the grove surprised me. Surprise is a reaction I had all but forgotten. I have seen enough that I alway know what to expect. I assess the odds of various outcomes, and me predictions are never thwarted. before you were finished confronting the revenant, the potion failed. I saw the artificial bravado leave you. Your demise was certain. Yet, despite my certainty, you removed the nail. Had you been full-grown, a seasoned hero of legendary renown, well-trained, armed with charms and talismans, I would have been deeply impressed. But for a mere boy to preform such a feat? I was truly surprised.
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We must prove our predictions about the future with action.
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Rule 1. Original data should be presented in a way that will preserve the evidence in the original data for all the predictions assumed to be useful.
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Darwin and his descendants couldn't have asked for a better example of how you make scientific predictions and how you verify them in a very rigorous way.
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The first company to produce a certified two seat electric aircraft with a 1.5 hour range will dominate the aviation training market.
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I never make predictions and I never will.
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All buildings are predictions. All predictions are wrong.
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My instinct is to be very controlling.
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Lovers can find nothing to say to each other that has not been said and unsaid a thousand times over. Kisses were invented to translate such nothings into wounds (I)
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Don't worry whether or not I am now happy. Today is only chapter one, we have yet to write a book.
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History proves... that a smart central bank can protect the economy and the financial sector from the nastier side effects of a stock market collapse.
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The happy life is thought to be one of excellence; now an excellent life requires exertion, and does not consist in amusement.
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When there is very little else left to believe in, one can still believe in an honest loaf of fragrant, home-baked bread.
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I basically started playing violin at the age of six. That lasted about three years because my previous teacher died and the second teacher didn't really know how to successfully get me going.
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If you want to be a good intuitive Bayesian—if you want to naturally make good predictions, without having to think about what kind of prediction rule is appropriate—you need to protect your priors. Counterintuitively, that might mean turning off the news.
